Bills vs. Chiefs Player Prop Bets, Spread Picks & Lines for 12/10
Today, the Buffalo Bills travel to Kansas City to take on their AFC rivals, the Chiefs. Allen vs. Mahomes is always quite the showdown, and they already played one of the best playoff games of all time. History has built itself in this matchup, and this is basically a must-win game for the Bills, as they currently sit at 6-6 this year and are fighting for a wild-card spot at this point.
Both squads are coming off a loss here, and both sides expect a bounce-back in this spot. Below, we will get into our Bills vs. Chiefs player props and spread prediction.
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BILLS VS. CHIEFS PLAYER PROPS: Josh Allen Over 33.5 Rushing Yards (-114) & Gabe Davis Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel Sportsbook)
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Prediction for Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs & Player Prop Picks Featuring Josh Allen & Gabe Davis for Today, 12/10
On Sunday, this fantastic rivalry between two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL continues. The Bills' backs are up against the wall here after losing to the Eagles in heartbreaking OT fashion on November 26th.
The Bills should be well-rested and ready to face this Chiefs team that looked bad against the Packers in their most recent loss. Mahomes and the Chiefs simply haven’t been the same this year despite their 8-4 record, and that leads us to our Bills vs. Chiefs prop bets.
Josh Allen Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Although the stats say the Chiefs have been a solid defense this year, they do look a bit soft at times, including their game last week against Green Bay. Jordan Love was sitting in the pocket and basically getting whatever he wanted. If the Chiefs are going to play soft, Allen will be a runaway train in this game. He had 80+ rushing yards in his last outing against a solid Eagles defense, so Allen’s over/under 32.5 rushing yards looks very tempting and juicy.
The Chiefs don’t have a great pass rush, and their secondary doesn’t appear to be playing too great, ether. If Allen realizes he can run on this defense early on, he should get 32.5 rushing yards easily. Let’s go with Josh Allen Over 32.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel to start off our Bills vs. Chiefs player props.
Gabe Davis Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Next, we want to crunch some numbers on Gabriel Davis. Against the Eagles in the Bills loss, Davis went off for 105 yards receiving and a touchdown. He’s clearly Allen’s second favorite target after Stefon Diggs, who tends to get more attention, leaving Davis wide open at times. 40.5 yards feels like a low over/under against a Chiefs defense that tends to give up some big plays in their secondary.
Davis is always a threat downfield, and the Bills will need him to have a big game if they want to walk out of KC with a win here. Let’s roll with Gabe Davis Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114) at FanDuel and expect him to have a huge game.
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Bills vs. Chiefs Spread & Free Pick Against the Spread
The Bills vs. Chiefs spread is basically exactly what we expected, as the lines are close to even. The Chiefs are slightly favored at -1.5 (-105), while the Bills are +1.5 (-115). Our expert prediction is that the Bills will win this game outright, as they need this win more than the Chiefs do, and they looked good in their loss against Philly. The Chiefs just lost to a lesser Packers team, and they clearly have some stuff to clean up before the playoffs, or else they will not be repeating.
Josh Allen has been taking a lot of heat once again this season, despite having an insane amount of touchdowns on the season. Let’s expect a strong, balanced attack from Buffalo against this Chiefs defense that has a few question marks. We’re going with the Buffalo Bills +1.5 (-115) at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Odds & Lines via FanDuel: Week 14, December 10th, 2023
Below, we’ll list the main market Bills vs. Chiefs lines ahead of this Week 14 matchup. All odds are provided via FanDuel Sportsbook.
Money Line: Bills (-102) vs. Chiefs (-116)
Spread: Bills +1.5 (-115) vs. Chiefs -1.5 (-105)
Total: Over 48.5 (-115) // Under 48.5 (-105)
This means the Bills need to win outright or lose by one to cover the 1.5-point spread. At -115 odds, a $15 bet cashes $10 if successful.
Von Miller News: Bills Player Arrested
Despite turning himself into police after being accused of assaulting his pregnant girlfriend, Von Miller is still active for Sunday, 12/10. The Bills are planning to allow the legal process to play out, and Miller will remain with the team until a verdict is reached. The Bills claim that this seems out of character for Miller, so we will see what happens down the line, but Miller is expected to play on Sunday, 12/10.
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